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The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
Previously unreported sales for the months of January 2005 to August 2005 have now been included in this publication. Release of this revised data (Original, Trend and Seasonally Adjusted) has now been completed and is presented in Tables 1 and 2, with footnotes denoting the months where revisions apply.
JANUARY 2006 KEY POINTS
Trend
The January 2006 trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81,839) increased 0.2% compared with the December 2005 estimate. This is the first month since February 2005 in which the trend estimate has recorded an increase.
Small increases were recorded in January 2006 compared with December 2005 for sales of passenger vehicles (0.2%) and other vehicles (0.2%). There was no movement in the trend estimate for sports utility vehicles.
Compared with January 2005, sales of passenger vehicles decreased 1.5% and sports utility vehicles decreased 6.2%, while sales of other vehicles showed an increase of 2.7%.
Most states and territories recorded slight increases in the trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles in January 2006 compared with December 2005, with the exception of Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory which recorded decreases of 0.7% and 1.1% respectively.
When compared with January 2005 however, most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles, with the largest decreases being Tasmania (10.0%), Australian Capital Territory (6.3%) and New South Wales (5.9%). Only Western Australia and Northern Territory showed increases of 10.9% and 0.4% respectively.
Seasonally adjusted
The January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (83,728) increased 2.6% compared with the December 2005 estimate.
When the seasonally adjusted estimates for January 2006 were compared with December 2005, increases were recorded for passenger vehicles (4.1%) and other vehicles (1.7%). Sports utility vehicles decreased 1.5% over the same period.
Over this same period, all states and territories except Victoria recorded increases, with Northern Territory (5.5%) and Australian Capital Territory (5.0%) recording the largest increases. Victoria recorded a decrease of 0.5%.
Sales of new motor vehicles, January 2006
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
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Seasonally adjusted | 25,929 | 21,671 | 18,201 | 5,344 | 8,906 | 1,611 | 818 | 1,248 | 83,728 |
Trend | 24,899 | 21,556 | 17,661 | 5,318 | 8,867 | 1,567 | 768 | 1,203 | 81,839 |
Percentage change from previous month
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Seasonally adjusted | 4.8 | -0.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 2.6 |
Trend | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | -0.7 | 0.5 | -1.1 | 0.2 |
Percentage change from previous year
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Seasonally adjusted | -4.7 | -4.5 | 1.2 | -4.7 | 7.1 | -12.6 | 8.9 | -3.3 | -2.3 |
Trend | -5.9 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 10.9 | -10.0 | 0.4 | -6.3 | -1.6 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
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February 2006 | 22 March 2006 | |
March 2006 | 24 April 2006 | |
April 2006 | 22 May 2006 | |
May 2006 | 22 June 2006 | |
June 2006 | 21 July 2006 | |
July 2006 | 22 August 2006 | |
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TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The February 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
2 | The February 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
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| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | | |
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Original | | |
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2004 | November | 52,888 | 15,257 | 16,190 | 84,335 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | | |
| December | 48,673 | 14,311 | 15,996 | 78,980 | -8.0 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -6.3 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January (a) | 43,075 | 13,877 | 12,761 | 69,713 | -11.5 | -3.0 | -20.2 | -11.7 | | |
| February (a) | 50,640 | 15,526 | 14,975 | 81,141 | 17.6 | 11.9 | 17.3 | 16.4 | | |
| March (a) | 53,282 | 17,454 | 15,902 | 86,638 | 5.2 | 12.4 | 6.2 | 6.8 | | |
| April (a) | 46,651 | 13,812 | 16,024 | 76,487 | -12.4 | -20.9 | 0.8 | -11.7 | | |
| May (a) | 50,463 | 15,430 | 18,061 | 83,954 | 8.2 | 11.7 | 12.7 | 9.8 | | |
| June (a) | 60,781 | 18,317 | 23,047 | 102,145 | 20.4 | 18.7 | 27.6 | 21.7 | | |
| July (a) | 49,016 | 13,822 | 15,803 | 78,641 | -19.4 | -24.5 | -31.4 | -23.0 | | |
| August (a) | 53,648 | 15,173 | 17,356 | 86,177 | 9.4 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.6 | | |
| September | 52,118 | 15,080 | 17,242 | 84,440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 | | |
| October | 48,434 | 12,503 | 15,181 | 76,118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | | |
| November | 52,751 | 14,252 | 16,535 | 83,538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | | |
| December | 47,945 | 15,046 | 16,286 | 79,277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | | |
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2006 | January | 43,761 | 13,251 | 12,991 | 70,003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | | |
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Seasonally adjusted | | |
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2004 | November | 50,379 | 15,123 | 15,816 | 81,318 | -3.7 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -4.0 | | |
| December | 48,638 | 14,011 | 16,195 | 78,844 | -3.5 | -7.4 | 2.4 | -3.0 | | |
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2005 | January | 52,421 | 16,036 | 17,236 | 85,693 | 7.8 | 14.5 | 6.4 | 8.7 | | |
| February | 52,828 | 16,266 | 16,175 | 85,269 | 0.8 | 1.4 | -6.2 | -0.5 | | |
| March | 49,964 | 15,871 | 15,743 | 81,578 | -5.4 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -4.3 | | |
| April | 51,104 | 15,095 | 16,935 | 83,134 | 2.3 | -4.9 | 7.6 | 1.9 | | |
| May | 50,880 | 14,668 | 16,653 | 82,201 | -0.4 | -2.8 | -1.7 | -1.1 | | |
| June | 51,036 | 14,363 | 16,654 | 82,053 | 0.3 | -2.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | | |
| July | 50,937 | 14,759 | 16,519 | 82,215 | -0.2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | 0.2 | | |
| August | 51,621 | 14,792 | 17,241 | 83,654 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 1.8 | | |
| September | 51,560 | 15,972 | 17,074 | 84,606 | -0.1 | 8.0 | -1.0 | 1.1 | | |
| October | 48,618 | 14,065 | 16,354 | 79,037 | -5.7 | -11.9 | -4.2 | -6.6 | | |
| November | 50,147 | 13,972 | 16,585 | 80,704 | 3.1 | -0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | | |
| December | 49,674 | 15,136 | 16,821 | 81,631 | -0.9 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | | |
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2006 | January | 51,721 | 14,902 | 17,105 | 83,728 | 4.1 | -1.5 | 1.7 | 2.6 | | |
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Trend | | |
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2004 | November | 50,166 | 15,379 | 16,298 | 81,843 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | | |
| December | 50,704 | 15,555 | 16,360 | 82,619 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | | |
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2005 | January | 51,076 | 15,663 | 16,392 | 83,131 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | | |
| February | 51,231 | 15,657 | 16,413 | 83,301 | 0.3 | -0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | | |
| March | 51,236 | 15,501 | 16,436 | 83,173 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0.1 | -0.2 | | |
| April | 51,207 | 15,260 | 16,502 | 82,969 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 0.4 | -0.2 | | |
| May | 51,160 | 15,021 | 16,606 | 82,787 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 0.6 | -0.2 | | |
| June | 51,102 | 14,823 | 16,711 | 82,636 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 0.6 | -0.2 | | |
| July | 50,986 | 14,719 | 16,797 | 82,502 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 0.5 | -0.2 | | |
| August | 50,836 | 14,717 | 16,822 | 82,375 | -0.3 | -0.0 | 0.1 | -0.2 | | |
| September | 50,580 | 14,733 | 16,789 | 82,102 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | | |
| October | 50,345 | 14,715 | 16,773 | 81,833 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | | |
| November | 50,226 | 14,690 | 16,776 | 81,692 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 | | |
| December | 50,229 | 14,689 | 16,797 | 81,715 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | | |
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2006 | January | 50,318 | 14,687 | 16,834 | 81,839 | 0.2 | -0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | | |
(a) Due to source data changes these data have been revised. | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
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| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
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Original | |
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2004 | November | 26,619 | 23,052 | 17,117 | 5,450 | 8,157 | 1,944 | 694 | 1,302 | 84,335 | |
| December | 24,315 | 21,700 | 16,537 | 4,998 | 7,341 | 2,245 | 647 | 1,197 | 78,980 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January (b) | 22,494 | 18,063 | 14,574 | 4,475 | 6,950 | 1,479 | 560 | 1,118 | 69,713 | |
| February (b) | 25,772 | 20,642 | 17,868 | 5,494 | 7,894 | 1,432 | 777 | 1,262 | 81,141 | |
| March (b) | 27,528 | 22,031 | 19,171 | 5,471 | 8,633 | 1,574 | 889 | 1,341 | 86,638 | |
| April (b) | 24,354 | 19,557 | 16,831 | 5,048 | 7,339 | 1,375 | 859 | 1,124 | 76,487 | |
| May (b) | 26,248 | 21,964 | 18,285 | 5,549 | 8,080 | 1,641 | 913 | 1,274 | 83,954 | |
| June (b) | 30,745 | 25,493 | 24,656 | 6,586 | 10,013 | 2,052 | 1,185 | 1,415 | 102,145 | |
| July (b) | 24,998 | 20,025 | 17,631 | 4,813 | 7,727 | 1,438 | 767 | 1,242 | 78,641 | |
| August (b) | 26,292 | 22,550 | 19,330 | 5,458 | 8,714 | 1,689 | 751 | 1,393 | 86,177 | |
| September | 25,457 | 22,044 | 18,344 | 5,243 | 9,125 | 2,151 | 793 | 1,283 | 84,440 | |
| October | 22,949 | 20,289 | 16,026 | 5,030 | 8,349 | 1,655 | 659 | 1,161 | 76,118 | |
| November | 25,716 | 22,428 | 17,181 | 5,500 | 9,107 | 1,667 | 690 | 1,249 | 83,538 | |
| December | 23,054 | 22,110 | 16,208 | 5,335 | 8,664 | 2,080 | 690 | 1,136 | 79,277 | |
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2006 | January | 21,995 | 17,876 | 15,107 | 4,380 | 7,604 | 1,295 | 616 | 1,130 | 70,003 | |
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Seasonally adjusted | |
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2004 | November | 25,705 | 21,569 | 17,123 | 5,250 | 8,012 | 1,701 | 717 | 1,241 | 81,318 | |
| December | 25,075 | 20,890 | 17,292 | 4,781 | 7,224 | 1,672 | 699 | 1,211 | 78,844 | |
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2005 | January | 27,202 | 22,691 | 17,994 | 5,607 | 8,315 | 1,843 | 751 | 1,290 | 85,693 | |
| February | 27,414 | 21,652 | 18,505 | 5,652 | 8,137 | 1,717 | 861 | 1,331 | 85,269 | |
| March | 26,189 | 20,939 | 17,448 | 5,343 | 7,763 | 1,761 | 788 | 1,347 | 81,578 | |
| April | 26,005 | 21,284 | 18,600 | 5,447 | 8,253 | 1,593 | 784 | 1,168 | 83,134 | |
| May | 25,350 | 21,499 | 18,142 | 5,424 | 8,127 | 1,657 | 785 | 1,217 | 82,201 | |
| June | 24,949 | 21,386 | 18,649 | 5,220 | 7,988 | 1,804 | 859 | 1,198 | 82,053 | |
| July | 25,360 | 21,290 | 18,181 | 5,191 | 8,459 | 1,616 | 816 | 1,302 | 82,215 | |
| August | 25,940 | 21,794 | 18,233 | 5,239 | 8,708 | 1,631 | 806 | 1,303 | 83,654 | |
| September | 26,020 | 21,687 | 18,408 | 5,304 | 9,006 | 2,022 | 840 | 1,319 | 84,606 | |
| October | 23,456 | 20,771 | 17,427 | 5,244 | 8,603 | 1,613 | 730 | 1,193 | 79,037 | |
| November | 24,423 | 21,376 | 17,303 | 5,322 | 8,888 | 1,469 | 716 | 1,207 | 80,704 | |
| December | 24,741 | 21,775 | 17,545 | 5,264 | 8,760 | 1,582 | 775 | 1,189 | 81,631 | |
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2006 | January | 25,929 | 21,671 | 18,201 | 5,344 | 8,906 | 1,611 | 818 | 1,248 | 83,728 | |
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Trend | |
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2004 | November | 25,900 | 21,427 | 17,419 | 5,390 | 7,978 | 1,736 | 749 | 1,244 | 81,843 | |
| December | 26,238 | 21,618 | 17,586 | 5,410 | 7,995 | 1,745 | 756 | 1,271 | 82,619 | |
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2005 | January | 26,471 | 21,666 | 17,776 | 5,431 | 7,997 | 1,741 | 765 | 1,284 | 83,131 | |
| February | 26,496 | 21,596 | 17,969 | 5,447 | 8,004 | 1,730 | 779 | 1,280 | 83,301 | |
| March | 26,313 | 21,486 | 18,135 | 5,447 | 8,020 | 1,712 | 795 | 1,265 | 83,173 | |
| April | 26,048 | 21,406 | 18,271 | 5,419 | 8,067 | 1,696 | 808 | 1,254 | 82,969 | |
| May | 25,775 | 21,383 | 18,361 | 5,364 | 8,149 | 1,690 | 818 | 1,247 | 82,787 | |
| June | 25,530 | 21,391 | 18,380 | 5,297 | 8,275 | 1,692 | 821 | 1,250 | 82,636 | |
| July | 25,324 | 21,415 | 18,311 | 5,253 | 8,434 | 1,693 | 815 | 1,257 | 82,502 | |
| August | 25,176 | 21,439 | 18,162 | 5,246 | 8,597 | 1,686 | 805 | 1,264 | 82,375 | |
| September | 25,028 | 21,424 | 17,968 | 5,252 | 8,715 | 1,664 | 790 | 1,261 | 82,102 | |
| October | 24,893 | 21,419 | 17,803 | 5,269 | 8,794 | 1,633 | 775 | 1,247 | 81,833 | |
| November | 24,821 | 21,447 | 17,698 | 5,288 | 8,840 | 1,602 | 767 | 1,229 | 81,692 | |
| December | 24,839 | 21,498 | 17,645 | 5,305 | 8,870 | 1,578 | 764 | 1,216 | 81,715 | |
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2006 | January | 24,899 | 21,556 | 17,661 | 5,318 | 8,867 | 1,567 | 768 | 1,203 | 81,839 | |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |
(b) Due to source data changes these data have been revised.
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